Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.179394 0.215519 0.254309 0.298769 0.348032 0.400677 0.460920
2025-03-02 0.118105 0.163389 0.216220 0.281195 0.357786 0.444111 0.547680
2025-03-09 0.085664 0.136205 0.199953 0.283323 0.386690 0.508094 0.658930
2025-03-16 0.058800 0.109402 0.178807 0.275311 0.400792 0.553726 0.749571
2025-03-23 0.046022 0.098509 0.175801 0.288615 0.440648 0.630979 0.879952
2025-03-30 0.032970 0.083491 0.164153 0.288142 0.461449 0.684231 0.981681
2025-04-06 0.023666 0.071705 0.154906 0.289179 0.483134 0.738281 1.084945
2025-04-13 0.017759 0.064143 0.150734 0.296500 0.512900 0.802956 1.202564
2025-04-20 0.013581 0.058556 0.148705 0.306310 0.545905 0.872189 1.326954
2025-04-27 0.010147 0.053166 0.145964 0.314318 0.576079 0.937850 1.447466
2025-05-04 0.006707 0.045721 0.137962 0.312746 0.591552 0.983273 1.541569
2025-05-11 0.004704 0.041248 0.134855 0.318698 0.618008 1.043985 1.656610
2025-05-18 0.002760 0.035121 0.127315 0.316659 0.632626 1.089226 1.752875
2025-05-25 0.001111 0.027072 0.113414 0.301708 0.626081 1.103926 1.807626
2025-06-01 0.000560 0.023869 0.110191 0.305848 0.649618 1.161976 1.922454
2025-06-08 0.000146 0.019104 0.101490 0.298501 0.653920 1.191835 1.998448
2025-06-15 0.000069 0.018390 0.103922 0.313156 0.694773 1.275953 2.151039
2025-06-22 0.000006 0.015588 0.099298 0.313021 0.710712 1.323269 2.252463
2025-06-29 NaN 0.013334 0.095605 0.314325 0.728879 1.373986 2.359086
2025-07-06 NaN 0.012119 0.095058 0.322175 0.758347 1.442018 2.490879
2025-07-13 NaN 0.011305 0.095718 0.332600 0.792409 1.517333 2.633631
2025-07-20 NaN 0.010357 0.095549 0.341092 0.823200 1.587995 2.770341
2025-07-27 NaN 0.008558 0.091112 0.339456 0.835885 1.630970 2.867616